July 25: Tamiflu availability update

July 25, 2008

Businesses have an opportunity to purchase Tamiflu.  This could be part of a business continuity of operations plan.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080626/ap_on_he_me/stockpiling_tamiflu

Reserving Tamiflu for workers in case of pandemic
By LAURAN NEERGAARD, Associated Press (AP) Jun 26, 2008
WASHINGTON (AP) Fears of bird flu are receding and sales of the anti-flu drug Tamiflu have slumped. Now its maker is offering a deal to U.S. employers: Pay an annual fee and reserve enough to protect every worker if a new super-flu strikes.

The plan announced Thursday comes as the federal government also begins a new effort to encourage many businesses to stockpile anti-flu drugs in case of a pandemic. Those private stockpiles would supplement a national stockpile that contains enough doses to treat only a fraction of the population.

But stockpiling is a big upfront investment for a threat that may never arrive and requires replacing supplies whenever drug doses expire. Roche Holding AG says its new plan would remove some of those barriers for companies otherwise interested in Tamiflu.

The U.S. government, in an unusual move, congratulated Roche on the program and helped to publicize it.
“We applaud them,” said Tevi Troy, deputy secretary of the Department of Health and Human Services, which directs the nation’s pandemic flu preparations. “Preparedness is a shared responsibility that extends across all levels of government and all levels of society.”

Pandemics can strike when the easy-to-mutate flu virus shifts to a strain that people have never experienced. There is concern that the Asian bird flu known as H5N1 might trigger one if it acquires the ability to spread easily from person to person.

It would take months to custom-brew a vaccine against a new super-flu. So the government has stockpiled enough antiviral drugs, mostly Tamiflu, to treat 50 million people, and is urging states to purchase enough for 31 million more.

The antiviral drugs also can be used to prevent infection before a vaccine arrives. Until recently, federal health officials didn’t recommend employer stockpiling for fear that there wasn’t enough Tamiflu being produced to satisfy global demand during regular flu seasons, and to build up the pandemic stockpiles of the U.S. and other governments.

But Roche increased global production 15-fold and U.S. guidelines proposed earlier this month not only say that employer stockpiling is feasible, but encourage businesses to set aside enough antiviral drugs to help their workers ward off infection and stay on the job.

“Businesses that provide goods or services essential to community health, safety, or well-being have an obligation to plan and prepare for continued operations in the event of a pandemic,” say the guidelines.

Roche already has sold varying amounts of Tamiflu to more than 300 U.S. businesses, said George Abercrombie, chief executive of Hoffman-La Roche Inc., the company’s U.S. arm.

Under the new program, others companies could reserve Tamiflu instead of buying and storing it themselves. They would pay a yearly fee of $6 for every 10 capsules to be set aside in Roche storage and delivered within 48 hours of demand.

Upon delivery, companies would pay the going wholesale price, currently $74 per 10-pack. If a pandemic had begun, the price conceivably could spike. But Abercrombie rejected that as “a bit of a cynical view,” adding, “that is not the way our company operates.”

Why 10 capsules? That’s the dose to treat a single ill person. To prevent infection requires a capsule a day as long as someone is potentially exposed to the virus.

In estimating how much to reserve, participating companies would have to decide how many employees they wish to cover, for either treatment or prevention and if they’ll also provide Tamiflu to workers’ families. Roche has said the program requires a minimum order of 2,500 10-capsule packs, but Abercrombie said he was willing to work with smaller companies.

“This will encourage a lot of businesses that were on the fence,” said Ann Beauchesne of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, which is working with companies and the federal government on corporate pandemic preparations.

In January, Roche announced that sales of Tamiflu had dropped 19 percent to $1.92 billion, as government stockpiling in wake of bird-flu fears eased. Abercrombie said Thursday that production has been scaled back because of abundant supply governments around the world had ordered 215 million courses of therapy out of 400 million available but could ramp up again if necessary


July 25: Pandemic Flu Disrupts Utilities and Supply Chains

July 25, 2008

 

THIS IS AN EXERCISE. IT IS NOT REAL. 

 

The shortage of workers caused by sickness and absenteeism has created significant disruption of supply chains and availability of utilities.

 

The below sickness numbers contribute to the disruptions.

 

July 25 Population Absenteeism Rate Attack Rate Number of people who have presented to the hospital with flu-like symptoms Fatalities past 24 hours
Bannock 75,565 35.00% 27.00% 748 13
Bear Lake 6,411 35.00% 27.00% 63 1
Bingham 41,735 35.00% 27.00% 413 7
Butte 2,899 35.00% 27.00% 29 1
Caribou 7,304 35.00% 27.00% 72 1
Franklin 11,329 35.00% 27.00% 112 2
Ft Hall 3500 35.00% 27.00% 35 1
Oneida 4,125 35.00% 27.00% 41 1
Power 7,538 35.00% 27.00% 75 1

 

Workers are not available to drive trucks or repair trucks, so supplies are not getting to their needed locations.  Gas tanks are empty.  Grocery stores are empty. Repair parts are not available.  Mail is not being delivered on a daily basis.  ATMs are empty of cash. 

 

Workers are not available to operate and maintain the country’s infrastructure. Some areas may not have not had electricity for several days because a wind storm knocked down power lines, and there is nobody available to fix the lines.  Pump stations on natural gas lines may need repair to continue pumping gas to homes and business.  Sewers could be backing up with very few people to alleviate the problems.  Telephone lines may have been knocked down but not repaired in the same windstorm that knocked down the power lines.  Internet services dependent on central servers may need maintenance that is not available, so internet access is limited.

 

The above scenario is a possibility during pandemic flu. However, with proper planning on the part of Critical Resources and Key Infrastructure, the percentage of probability can be reduced.  The Department of Homeland Security has published national guidelines for Critical Infrastructure and Key Resources (CI/KR). If you are in the utility business or provide key resources such as gasoline or groceries, this document should be considered a “must read.” 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Continuity Of Operations Planning (COOP) provides the foundation for continuing your business or services during times of emergency or disaster. This applies to government angencies and all businesses. How do you plan to protect your employees and respond to the above scenario so that your company does not go out of business because of pandemic flu? 

 

Here are some basic tips for COOP:

 

Plan:

- Review the “Pandemic Influenza Guide For Critical Infrastructure and Key Resources” to get the big picture about COOP and how it fits your government agency or business.

- Complete the planning checklists at http://www.pandemicflu.gov/plan/workplaceplanning/index.html 

- Begin reviewing pandemic flu plans and options at corporate meetings. Be sure to include Facility/Maintenance and Human Resources departments in the planning effort.

- Review your supply chain for critical paths that could disrupt operations. Address issues with your suppliers.

- Plan for alternate electricity and heat/cooling in your facility.

- Partner with your local health district for planning assistance.

- Cross-train staff to perform additional functions when needed.

- Review Human Resources policies to ensure they address extended sick times caused by employee sickness and the employee taking care of sick family members. 

- Other workplace policies to review include daycare in the workplace and possibly providing food for employees who can make it to work.

 

Protect:

-  Provide hand sanitizer stations near doors, in dining facilities, and in restrooms.

-  Consider telecommuting as a viable work option to minimize physical interactions during pandemic flu.

-  Exercise your pandemic flu plan during an emergency drill at your facility, using back-up personnel in key positions.

-  Consider partnerships with other companies who can provide staffing for your business.

 

Respond

-  Put your pandemic flu into action.

-  Keep a close eye on your supply chain and be “ahead of the curve.”

-  If your employees are sick, send them home so they don’t infect other employees.

 

 

 

Links and Other Good Stuff: 

 

- COOP for Critical Resources and Key Infrastructure: http://www.pandemicflu.gov/plan/pdf/cikrpandemicinfluenzaguide.pdf

 

Government personnel should consider: Staffing and task prioritization. Alternate electricity, heating/cooling, and communications.

 

Business personnel should consider:  Staffing and task prioritization. Alternate electricity, heating/cooling, and communications.

 

Private Citizens should consider:  Emergency Kit Supplies.  Alternate electricity, heating/cooling, and communications.

 

 

All readers are encouraged to leave a comment about the how this exercise scenario  might impact your lives.

 

 THIS IS AN EXERCISE. IT IS NOT REAL.


Admin Note: Pet Brochure added

July 24, 2008

I’ve added the Southeastern District Health Department’s pet-ready brochure to the links in the right column.

SDHD Pet Preparedness


July 24: SDHD recommends school closings and day-care closings.

July 24, 2008

 

 

THIS IS AN EXERCISE. IT IS NOT REAL. 

SDHD has recommended to school superintendents that pandemic flu plans be fully implemented. Some schools may provide instruction via the internet while other schools will simply close their doors until the pandemic passes. 

 

Daycares are also recommended to close to prevent the spread of pandemic flu among children.

 

This is an historical photo from the 1918 flu. Children who remain in school during a pandemic could greatly increase the spread of the flu.  So, schools will probably close at some point during the pandemic.

 

 

 

 

 

How will you cope with the school closings? Here are ways for you and your employer.

 

 

 

Links and Other Good Stuff: 

-     School checklist for pandemic flu: http://www.pandemicflu.gov/plan/schoolchecklist.html

 - Additional school planning: www.ed.gov/admins/lead/safety/emergencyplan/pandemic/index.html

  

Government personnel should consider: When should Emergency Operations Centers be opened to deal with the pandemic and many different issues it will bring?  Do shelters need to be opened?  Ensure your schools have completed the planning checklists. More information about school planning is

 

Business personnel should consider: How do schools and day-cares affect your work force?  Who has to stay home with children and can’t come to work?  Can an employee bring a child to work?

Private Citizens should consider: How do you take care of your children if you have to work? Also, many children depend on school breakfast and lunch as primary sources of food.

 

All readers are encouraged to leave a comment about the how this exercise scenario might impact your lives.

 

 

THIS IS AN EXERCISE. IT IS NOT REAL.